- Polls the same For Harper and the Liberals as last Election = Low Moderate Majority Turnout = Harper Minority

- Polls the same For Harper and the Liberls as last Election - Suggests Low Moderate Majority Turnout
No Quebec-style bump in polls for NDP in Ontario, GLORIA GALLOWAY, Globe and Mail, April 24, 2011
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ottawa-notebook/no-quebec-style-bump-in-polls-for-ndp-in-ontario/article1996858/

Harper and the Con's as well as the Liberals have approx the same % of support amongst committed voters as the the results of the '08 election

Suggests that there may very well be another low voter turnout overall as well as a major low voter turnout for the Liberals.

And the result may very well be the same as last time too - Harper getting more seats than the other parties, despite have almost 2/3 Canadians voting against him.

In the '08 election the biggest factor was the low voter turnout overall and for the Liberals. Harper and the Con's were pretty much the same as the previous election:

Harper and the Con's have 33% right-wing extremist die-hard supporters who will both vote and vote for the Con's

the lower the voter turnout the greater percentage of the vote they make up you can throw in a small amount of soft vote but they are subject to the same problems as the opposition parties - voter turn out and voting the same as their prior intentions.

This phenomenon was accentuated in the last election

where voter turnout was down from the previous election (approx 6.6% less) and Liberals received 850,000 less votes (or approx 19% less)

but Con's received approximately the same number of votes (actually 165,000 less or approx 3% less) as the previous election but ended up with 37.7%

and in the Vaughan by-election a few months ago

where voter turnout was way down (32.5%), the Liberals were down approx 10,000 votes and the Con's received approximately the same number of votes

Harper and the Con's have been running this country only because the Moderate Majority have not been engaged enough to vote and have not consolidated.

This poll suggest pretty much the same thing this time around.

All I can say is God save Canada

The only difference this time is the general awareness that the party that governs must be elected by Parliament which in turn is made up of our representatives which we have elected.

Harper is saying that Canadians will be surprised if the 'winner' of the election does not form the government.

This is a deliberate misrepresentation of our Democratic system - to his own convenience, of course.

In this election there are 308 winners and it is these winners who then elect, as our representatives in Parliament, which party will form the government.

Lloyd MacILquham cicblog.com/comments.html